From Study X, Exhibit 3

The government has run a deficit in 52 of the 56 fiscal years since 1970

Source. OMB Historical Tables, FY2027 edition (April 2026), Table 1.1 and Table 10.1. Fiscal years 1901–2025; as a share of GDP from 1940.

Method and data

Method. Total receipts and outlays, on- and off-budget combined (OMB Table 1.1), over Table 10.1 GDP. 1901–1939 have no GDP series and are given in current dollars only; OMB prints 1913 and 1914 as a deficit of under $0.5 million, left blank here.

Fiscal yearSurplus or deficit (% of GDP)Receipts (% of GDP)Outlays (% of GDP)Surplus or deficit ($m)
190163
190277
190345
1904−43
1905−23
190625
190787
1908−57
1909−89
1910−18
191111
19123
1913
1914
1915−63
191648
1917−853
1918−9,032
1919−13,363
1920291
1921509
1922736
1923713
1924963
1925717
1926865
19271,155
1928939
1929734
1930738
1931−462
1932−2,735
1933−2,602
1934−3,586
1935−2,803
1936−4,304
1937−2,193
1938−89
1939−2,846
1940−2.976.679.64−2,920
1941−4.257.511.75−4,941
1942−13.889.9123.79−20,503
1943−29.551342.55−54,554
1944−22.2420.4642.71−47,557
1945−2119.9540.95−47,553
1946−6.9917.2424.22−15,936
19471.6816.1214.444,018
19484.515.8711.3611,796
19490.2114.2514.05580
1950−1.1214.1515.27−3,119
19511.8715.7813.926,102
1952−0.4318.5318.95−1,519
1953−1.718.2219.92−6,493
1954−0.31818.3−1,154
1955−0.7416.1116.84−2,993
19560.917.0216.123,947
19570.7417.2616.533,412
1958−0.5816.8217.4−2,769
1959−2.5515.7118.25−12,849
19600.0617.3117.25301
1961−0.6117.2717.88−3,335
1962−1.2217.0218.24−7,146
1963−0.7717.2418.01−4,756
1964−0.8917.0217.91−5,915
1965−0.216.4716.67−1,411
1966−0.4716.7617.24−3,698
1967−1.0317.7918.82−8,643
1968−2.817.0419.85−25,161
19690.3319.0618.733,242
1970−0.2718.4218.69−2,842
1971−2.0616.7618.82−23,033
1972−1.9217.0418.97−23,373
1973−1.117.0618.16−14,908
1974−0.4117.7518.16−6,135
1975−3.3117.3720.68−53,242
1976−4.1316.6920.82−73,732
1977−2.6517.5620.22−53,659
1978−2.617.5820.18−59,185
1979−1.5918.0619.65−40,726
1980−2.6418.5221.17−73,830
1981−2.5219.1321.65−78,968
1982−3.8618.6422.51−127,977
1983−5.8816.9822.86−207,802
1984−4.6916.8821.57−185,367
1985−4.9817.2122.19−212,308
1986−4.8916.9921.88−221,227
1987−3.1417.9221.06−149,730
1988−3.0217.6920.71−155,178
1989−2.7517.8420.59−152,639
1990−3.7517.4921.24−221,036
1991−4.4217.3121.73−269,238
1992−4.5217.0121.53−290,321
1993−3.7617.0420.8−255,051
1994−2.8317.5420.37−203,186
1995−2.1717.8820.05−163,952
1996−1.3518.2719.63−107,431
1997−0.2618.6918.95−21,884
19980.7819.2818.569,270
19991.3319.2817.95125,610
20002.3420.0217.68236,241
20011.2218.9217.7128,236
2002−1.4617.1118.57−157,758
2003−3.3515.819.15−377,585
2004−3.4315.6319.06−412,727
2005−2.4816.7719.25−318,346
2006−1.8217.6519.47−248,181
2007−1.1217.9519.07−160,701
2008−3.117.0620.16−458,553
2009−9.7614.5524.31−1,412,688
2010−8.714.5323.23−1,294,373
2011−8.414.8923.3−1,299,599
2012−6.6815.2121.89−1,076,573
2013−4.0716.6320.7−679,775
2014−2.7817.3420.12−484,793
2015−2.4317.8920.32−441,960
2016−3.1417.5320.67−584,650
2017−3.4317.1220.55−665,450
2018−3.8116.2920.11−779,074
2019−4.6216.2720.89−983,588
2020−14.5116.0330.54−3,095,653
2021−12.0417.5629.6−2,773,594
2022−5.3819.1624.53−1,374,171
2023−6.1616.2122.37−1,687,467
2024−6.271723.27−1,815,377
2025−5.8517.2723.12−1,774,684

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Higgins Strategy. “The government has run a deficit in 52 of the 56 fiscal years since 1970” Exhibit 3, The Debt, the Waste and the Tax (Study X). October 12, 2026. https://higginsstrategy.com/charts/10-surplus-or-deficit-1901-2025/