From Study X, Exhibit 4

Net interest was 13.8% of federal outlays and 3.2% of GDP in FY2025

Source. OMB Historical Tables, FY2027 edition (April 2026), Table 3.1, share of outlays; CBO, The Long-Term Budget Outlook Data: 2026 to 2056 (February 25, 2026), Table 2, share of GDP 1940–2056, saved by hand from cbo.gov.

Method and data

Method. Net interest is function 900: interest paid less interest received by trust funds and others. The share of outlays is OMB’s (Table 3.1), charted for 1940–2025; OMB’s estimates for 2026–2031 are in the table and CSV. The share of GDP is CBO’s own series from one file, its historical values (which CBO draws from CBO and OMB data) for 1940–2025 and its extended-baseline projection for 2026–2056, so no seam joins two sources. OMB’s shares of GDP (net interest over Table 10.1 GDP) are in the CSV. Per resident divides by BEA’s annual population. National defense (function 050) and the other large functions are in the CSV, $m current.

Fiscal yearBasisNet interest (% of outlays, OMB)Net interest (% of GDP, CBO)Net interest ($m)Per resident ($)
1940Actual9.50.9158997
1941Actual6.90.8129437
1942Actual30.7121,0528
1943Actual1.90.8281,52911
1944Actual2.41.0382,21916
1945Actual3.41.3753,11222
1946Actual7.41.8034,11129
1947Actual12.21.764,20429
1948Actual14.61.6584,34130
1949Actual11.61.6364,52330
1950Actual11.31.7274,81232
1951Actual10.21.4264,66530
1952Actual6.91.3164,70130
1953Actual6.81.355,15632
1954Actual6.81.2434,81130
1955Actual7.11.1944,85029
1956Actual7.21.1595,07930
1957Actual71.1555,35431
1958Actual6.81.1845,60432
1959Actual6.31.1425,76233
1960Actual7.51.36,94738
1961Actual6.91.2296,71637
1962Actual6.41.1766,88937
1963Actual71.2527,74041
1964Actual6.91.2398,19943
1965Actual7.31.2118,59144
1966Actual71.2039,38648
1967Actual6.51.22710,26852
1968Actual6.21.23611,09055
1969Actual6.91.29512,69963
1970Actual7.31.37414,38070
1971Actual7.11.32914,84171
1972Actual6.71.27315,47874
1973Actual7.11.28317,34982
1974Actual81.44621,449100
1975Actual71.44623,244108
1976Actual7.21.49626,727123
1977Actual7.31.47729,901136
1978Actual7.71.5635,458159
1979Actual8.51.66242,633189
1980Actual8.91.88252,533231
1981Actual10.12.19568,766299
1982Actual11.42.56685,032366
1983Actual11.12.5489,808383
1984Actual132.813111,102470
1985Actual13.73.036129,478543
1986Actual13.73.005136,017565
1987Actual13.82.907138,611571
1988Actual14.32.954151,803619
1989Actual14.83.042168,981683
1990Actual14.73.125184,347737
1991Actual14.73.191194,448767
1992Actual14.43.107199,344776
1993Actual14.12.933198,713763
1994Actual13.92.828202,932770
1995Actual15.33.07232,134871
1996Actual15.43.032241,053894
1997Actual15.22.887243,984894
1998Actual14.62.7241,118873
1999Actual13.52.424229,755823
2000Actual12.52.204222,949789
2001Actual11.11.959206,167723
2002Actual8.51.579170,949594
2003Actual7.11.357153,073527
2004Actual71.332160,245546
2005Actual7.41.433183,986622
2006Actual8.51.662226,603758
2007Actual8.71.657237,109786
2008Actual8.51.708252,757830
2009Actual5.31.292186,902608
2010Actual5.71.318196,194633
2011Actual6.41.487229,962736
2012Actual6.21.368220,408700
2013Actual6.41.324220,885697
2014Actual6.51.314228,956716
2015Actual61.229223,181693
2016Actual6.21.288240,033739
2017Actual6.61.355262,551803
2018Actual7.91.59324,975988
2019Actual8.41.762375,1581,135
2020Actual5.31.619345,4701,041
2021Actual5.21.529352,3381,060
2022Actual7.61.861475,8871,423
2023Actual10.72.403658,2671,953
2024Actual13.13.04879,8792,587
2025Actual13.83.195970,0652,837
2026OMB estimate; CBO projection13.53.2571,016,6502,966
2027OMB estimate; CBO projection13.23.3251,065,368
2028OMB estimate; CBO projection13.83.5131,166,961
2029OMB estimate; CBO projection14.33.6781,234,644
2030OMB estimate; CBO projection14.53.8291,304,508
2031OMB estimate; CBO projection14.73.9891,363,769
2032CBO projection4.147
2033CBO projection4.269
2034CBO projection4.389
2035CBO projection4.486
2036CBO projection4.591
2037CBO projection4.687
2038CBO projection4.788
2039CBO projection4.887
2040CBO projection4.989
2041CBO projection5.097
2042CBO projection5.217
2043CBO projection5.334
2044CBO projection5.443
2045CBO projection5.554
2046CBO projection5.676
2047CBO projection5.792
2048CBO projection5.907
2049CBO projection6.022
2050CBO projection6.143
2051CBO projection6.269
2052CBO projection6.4
2053CBO projection6.529
2054CBO projection6.658
2055CBO projection6.79
2056CBO projection6.93

Download 10-net-interest-1940-2056.csv

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Higgins Strategy. “Net interest was 13.8% of federal outlays and 3.2% of GDP in FY2025” Exhibit 4, The Debt, the Waste and the Tax (Study X). October 12, 2026. https://higginsstrategy.com/charts/10-net-interest-1940-2056/