CBO projects discretionary outlays at 4.8% of GDP in 2036
Source. CBO, Budget and Economic Outlook, February 11, 2026
Method and data
Method. The line is the discretionary_outlays_pct_gdp_feb2026 column, CBO's February 11, 2026 baseline projection of discretionary outlays as a percent of GDP for fiscal years 2025 (actual) to 2036; the June 30, 2026 dollar changes in the CSV are not applied to it.
| Fiscal year | Discretionary outlays, February 2026 ($ billions) | Discretionary outlays, February 2026 (% of GDP) | Legislative change, June 2026 ($ billions) | Technical change, June 2026 ($ billions) | Total change, June 2026 ($ billions) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1,872 | 6.2 | |||
| 2026 | 1,880 | 5.9 | 11 | −21 | −10 |
| 2027 | 1,882 | 5.6 | 3 | −10 | −7 |
| 2028 | 1,929 | 5.6 | −1 | −2 | −3 |
| 2029 | 1,948 | 5.4 | −7 | 2 | −5 |
| 2030 | 1,989 | 5.3 | −9 | 1 | −8 |
| 2031 | 2,024 | 5.2 | −11 | 0 | −11 |
| 2032 | 2,063 | 5.1 | −11 | 0 | −11 |
| 2033 | 2,111 | 5.1 | −12 | −2 | −14 |
| 2034 | 2,147 | 5 | −12 | −2 | −14 |
| 2035 | 2,187 | 4.9 | −13 | −3 | −16 |
| 2036 | 2,244 | 4.8 | −13 | −4 | −17 |
Download federal-funding-calendar-03-discretionary-outlays.csv
