From Study XI, Exhibit 2

One adult got $4,100 in today’s money in 2020–21; this pays $5,000

Source. IRS payment amounts by round; BLS CPI-U, not seasonally adjusted (CPIAUCNS), via ALFRED, vintage of October 3, 2026. Also: IRS Statistics of Income, Economic Impact Payments, Table 1 (first round); IRS, Commissioner’s testimony, February 23, 2021 (second round); IRS, “All third Economic Impact Payments issued”. April 2020, January 2021 and March 2021, restated in August 2026 dollars.

Method and data

Method. Each check is restated by CPI-U (not seasonally adjusted) for its month over August 2026 (334.98): $1,200 × 334.98 ÷ 256.389 (April 2020) + $600 × 334.98 ÷ 261.582 (January 2021) + $1,400 × 334.98 ÷ 264.877 (March 2021) = $4,107. A child’s checks were $500, $600 and $1,400. Family of four = two adults and two children. Income phase-outs ignored.

ItemUS dollars
Three pandemic checks, one adult, as paid3,200
The same, in August 2026 dollars4,107
Three checks for one child, in August 2026 dollars3,192
The proposal, one adult5,000
Family of four, 2020–21, in August 2026 dollars14,598
Family of four (two adults), the proposal10,000

Download 11-15-real-dollars-restated.csv

Download SVG · CSV. Data and chart licensed CC BY 4.0.

Higgins Strategy. “One adult got $4,100 in today’s money in 2020–21; this pays $5,000” Exhibit 2, Five Thousand Dollars Each (Study XI). October 12, 2026. https://higginsstrategy.com/charts/11-15-real-dollars-restated/